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Instead, they analyze long-term rainfall trends, seasonal monsoon patterns, cyclical climatic
changes (like El Niño), and unexpected irregular events. Only then can they forecast rainfall
more accurately.
This shows how powerful the study of components is!
Final Words: The Beauty of Time Series
Time series analysis is like a time machine of data. It allows us to travel into the past,
understand the present, and prepare for the future.
• For businesses, it means profit.
• For governments, it means better policies.
• For scientists, it means discoveries.
• For ordinary people, it means planning life better.
And remember, just like our farmer at the beginning of the story, if we carefully observe and
analyze time patterns, we can make smarter decisions in every walk of life.
SECTION-D
5 (i) Three coins are tossed simultaneously. Write its sample space. Also find the
probability of getting at least one head.
(ii) The probability of solving specific problem by A and B is 1/2 and 1/3 respectively. If
both A and B try to solve the problem independently, find the probability that the
problem is solved.
Ans: (i). A little adventure in probability land — coins, friends, and a solved problem
Imagine a sunny afternoon in a small schoolyard. Two scenes are unfolding at once.
Scene 1: Three friends — Maya, Rohan, and Aisha — decide to play a quick game. Each takes
a coin, they all toss their coins at the same time, and they watch them tumble and land on
the ground.
Scene 2: In the classroom across the way, two classmates — Arun and Bhanu — get stuck on
a tricky math problem. Arun is confident he can solve many problems half the time he tries;
Bhanu says she can solve similar problems one time out of three. They both decide to try
independently to solve the problem. What are the chances that at least one of them will
crack it?